Chase Claypool Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Chase Claypool

NFL · Player Props

Chase Claypool

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 24, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Chase Claypool Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a huge 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Chase Claypool has been used less as a potential target this year (93.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (81.8%).
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Chase Claypool's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Completion% jumping from 58.3% to 68.3%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Chase Claypool has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (62.0 per game) than he did last year (81.0 per game).
Chase Claypool has notched substantially fewer receiving yards per game (43.0) this year than he did last year (53.0).
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.4%) to WRs this year (62.4%).
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has afforded their QB just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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