Chase Claypool Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Chase Claypool

NFL · Player Props

Chase Claypool

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Chase Claypool Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 138.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Chase Claypool to total 6.6 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
Chase Claypool has posted a colossal 75.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among WRs.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Steelers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
Chase Claypool's 34.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 50.0.
Chase Claypool's receiving effectiveness has worsened this season, notching a mere 5.49 yards-per-target compared to a 8.22 figure last season.
Chase Claypool's ability to grind out extra yardage has declined this year, totaling a measly 3.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.42 figure last year.
The New York Jets pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.15 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 8th-least in the league.

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