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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

Chase Brown Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 75.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Bengals, who are a huge favorite by 10 points.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 138.5 plays on offense called: the highest number on the slate this week.

In this week's contest, Chase Brown is predicted by the projections to secure a spot in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 20.2 carries.

The leading projections forecast Chase Brown to be much more involved in his team's ground game in this week's game (80.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (61.2% in games he has played).

Chase Brown's 60.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season marks a substantial boost in his rushing ability over last season's 16.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 2nd-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 37.2% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop.

The Cleveland Browns linebackers rank as the best group of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

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