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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Chase Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-156/+146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -156.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Chase Brown to accrue 3.7 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Chase Brown slots into the 89th percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a colossal 17.9 mark last year.

Chase Brown ranks as one of the leading running backs in the pass game last year, averaging an excellent 3.4 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense last year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

The Cincinnati offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Cleveland defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-best unit in football last year with their pass rush.

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