My Account Log Out

reorder

Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos

Chase Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-192/+146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -192.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.7% of their opportunities: the greatest rate on the slate this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

In this game, Chase Brown is forecasted by the model to find himself in the 100th percentile among running backs with 6.3 targets.

Chase Brown's 18.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 4.5.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.

At the moment, the 7th-slowest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Bengals.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Bengals grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.

Chase Brown's 86.0% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a noteworthy decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 93.3% figure.

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Denver's safety corps has been excellent this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

More Chase Brown Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™