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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

Chase Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+165/-220).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -220.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 62.8% of their chances: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 138.5 plays on offense called: the highest number on the slate this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop.

Our trusted projections expect Chase Brown to accumulate 6.2 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Chase Brown's 18.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 4.5.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Bengals, who are a huge favorite by 10 points.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 32.3 per game) this year.

When talking about pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.

Chase Brown's 85.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a remarkable reduction in his receiving skills over last year's 93.3% rate.

More Chase Brown Player Props

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