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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

Chase Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bengals to pass on 63.0% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

This week, Chase Brown is forecasted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 98th percentile among RBs with 5.9 targets.

Chase Brown's 18.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 4.5.

Chase Brown's 3.4 adjusted catches per game this season reflects a remarkable boost in his pass-catching talent over last season's 1.4 mark.

This year, the poor Tennessee Titans pass defense has surrendered a massive 86.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 10th-worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 6-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Titans defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.

When talking about pass protection (and the importance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.

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