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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Chase Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.2% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may fall-off.

The projections expect Chase Brown to accrue 5.6 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Chase Brown's 10.5% Target Rate this season reflects a noteable growth in his passing game workload over last season's 3.7% figure.

Chase Brown's 3.0 adjusted receptions per game this season represents a remarkable boost in his receiving skills over last season's 1.4 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Bengals to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals this year (just 55.6 per game on average).

Chase Brown's 86.3% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a noteworthy regression in his receiving talent over last season's 93.3% mark.

This year, the formidable Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed a mere 74.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 2nd-best rate in football.

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 4th-best in football.

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