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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos

Chase Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.7% of their opportunities: the greatest rate on the slate this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

In this game, Chase Brown is forecasted by the model to find himself in the 100th percentile among running backs with 6.3 targets.

When talking about air yards, Chase Brown ranks in the lofty 97th percentile among running backs this year, averaging a massive 5.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more impressive than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.

At the moment, the 7th-slowest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Bengals.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Bengals grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.

Chase Brown's 86.0% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a noteworthy decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 93.3% figure.

Chase Brown's 6.1 adjusted yards per target this year represents a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 8.7 rate.

More Chase Brown Player Props

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