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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

Chase Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 62.8% of their chances: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 138.5 plays on offense called: the highest number on the slate this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop.

Our trusted projections expect Chase Brown to accumulate 6.2 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Chase Brown has totaled a staggering 5.0 air yards per game this year: 97th percentile among running backs. (This may not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Bengals, who are a huge favorite by 10 points.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 32.3 per game) this year.

When talking about pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.

Chase Brown's 85.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a remarkable reduction in his receiving skills over last year's 93.3% rate.

Chase Brown's receiving efficiency has declined this season, accumulating a measly 6.14 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.70 figure last season.

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