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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

Chase Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bengals to pass on 63.0% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

This week, Chase Brown is forecasted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 98th percentile among RBs with 5.9 targets.

As it relates to air yards, Chase Brown grades out in the lofty 96th percentile among RBs this year, averaging a colossal 5.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more notable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).

Chase Brown's 18.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 4.5.

Chase Brown has notched quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (24.0) this year than he did last year (13.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 6-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Titans defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.

When talking about pass protection (and the importance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.

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