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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Chase Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bengals to pass on 64.4% of their plays: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays run: the 4th-highest number among all games this week.

The model projects Chase Brown to notch 5.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.

When it comes to air yards, Chase Brown ranks in the towering 97th percentile among running backs this year, totaling a staggering 4.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

Chase Brown's 17.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 4.5.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3 points.

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Chase Brown's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 93.3% to 83.8%.

Chase Brown's 5.1 adjusted yards per target this season shows a material decline in his pass-catching ability over last season's 8.7 mark.

Chase Brown's 4.57 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a substantial decrease in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 13.9% rate.

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