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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Chase Brown Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays run: the 4th-highest number among all games this week.
  • In this week's contest, Chase Brown is expected by the projections to find himself in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs with 17.9 carries.
  • While Chase Brown has earned 54.3% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Cincinnati's rushing attack this week at 77.3%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to run on 35.6% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Pittsburgh's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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