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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Atlanta Falcons vs Dallas Cowboys

CeeDee Lamb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 64.6% of their plays: the highest clip on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 138.0 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.

The Cowboys have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 59.3 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

CeeDee Lamb's 60.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 71.1.

The Dallas Cowboys O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

CeeDee Lamb's 6.5 adjusted catches per game this season reflects an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 7.9 mark.

CeeDee Lamb's 67.3% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a substantial regression in his receiving ability over last season's 74.7% mark.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta's safety corps has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 6th-best in football.

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