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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

CeeDee Lamb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 63.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Cowboys to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 60.3 plays per game.

The projections expect CeeDee Lamb to earn 9.9 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

CeeDee Lamb has been a much smaller part of his team's passing game this year (23.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (30.2%).

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Cowboys profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.

CeeDee Lamb's play as a receiver has declined this year, accumulating a measly 5.4 adjusted receptions vs 7.9 last year.

CeeDee Lamb's 62.3% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a meaningful decline in his pass-catching skills over last year's 74.7% figure.

The 49ers pass defense has allowed the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (56%) vs. WRs this year (56.0%).

More CeeDee Lamb Player Props

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