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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

CeeDee Lamb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-164/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -164.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Cowboys are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.

The model projects the Cowboys as the 6th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 67.0 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Cowboys this year (a whopping 61.1 per game on average).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

CeeDee Lamb's 61.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 71.1.

The Dallas O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.

CeeDee Lamb's 6.7 adjusted catches per game this season signifies an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season's 7.9 rate.

CeeDee Lamb's 67.8% Adjusted Completion% this year marks an impressive decline in his pass-catching ability over last year's 74.7% figure.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-best group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

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