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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush.
  • This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 61.2 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • CeeDee Lamb's 59.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 71.1.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys grades out as the worst in football this year.
  • CeeDee Lamb's 6.6 adjusted catches per game this season illustrates an impressive regression in his receiving skills over last season's 7.9 figure.
  • CeeDee Lamb's 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects a meaningful regression in his receiving prowess over last season's 74.7% rate.

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