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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-182/+139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -182.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys may rely on the pass game less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Cooper Rush.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are forecasted by the projections to call 67.7 total plays in this game: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Cowboys this year (a massive 61.0 per game on average).
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
  • In this game, CeeDee Lamb is projected by the predictive model to rank in the 96th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.8 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • CeeDee Lamb's 60.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 71.1.
  • The Cowboys O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • CeeDee Lamb's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 74.7% to 69.3%.

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