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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans

CeeDee Lamb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys may lean on the pass less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Cooper Rush.

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Cowboys being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Texans, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.3 per game) this year.

CeeDee Lamb's 61.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 71.1.

The Dallas offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

CeeDee Lamb's 6.7 adjusted receptions per game this year represents a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching talent over last year's 7.9 figure.

CeeDee Lamb's 66.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects an impressive decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 74.7% figure.

More CeeDee Lamb Player Props

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