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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 68.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.7 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to total 8.7 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.
  • CeeDee Lamb has been a much bigger part of his team's passing game this season (29.5% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (19.7%).
  • CeeDee Lamb's play as a receiver has gotten a boost this season, accumulating 6.3 yards per game compared to a measly 4.6 last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
  • The Washington Commanders safeties project as the 3rd-best group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have faced a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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