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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Atlanta Falcons vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 85.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 64.6% of their plays: the highest clip on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 138.0 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.
  • The Cowboys have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 59.3 plays per game.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • CeeDee Lamb has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (95.0 per game) than he did last season (109.0 per game).
  • CeeDee Lamb's 60.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 71.1.
  • The Dallas Cowboys O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • CeeDee Lamb has posted substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (88.0) this season than he did last season (103.0).
  • CeeDee Lamb's 67.3% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a substantial regression in his receiving ability over last season's 74.7% mark.

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