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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 79.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 75.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 79.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 63.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Cowboys to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 60.3 plays per game.
  • The projections expect CeeDee Lamb to earn 9.9 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • CeeDee Lamb has been a much smaller part of his team's passing game this year (23.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (30.2%).
  • CeeDee Lamb has totaled quite a few less air yards this season (84.0 per game) than he did last season (109.0 per game).
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Cowboys profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
  • CeeDee Lamb's 71.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year reflects a noteable decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 103.0 figure.
  • CeeDee Lamb's 62.3% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a meaningful decline in his pass-catching skills over last year's 74.7% figure.

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