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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 90.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 82.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 90.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 62.5% of their downs: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 66.4 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
  • The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
  • The Detroit Lions defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (41.2 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • CeeDee Lamb has been a much smaller part of his offense's pass attack this season (21.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (30.2%).
  • After accumulating 109.0 air yards per game last season, CeeDee Lamb has produced significantly fewer this season, currently sitting at 78.0 per game.
  • The Dallas Cowboys O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • CeeDee Lamb's 69.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year illustrates a remarkable regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 103.0 rate.
  • CeeDee Lamb's 67.2% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a noteworthy reduction in his receiving ability over last year's 74.7% rate.

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