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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 77.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 68.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 77.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • At a -4-point disadvantage, the Cowboys are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.
  • The model projects the Cowboys as the 6th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 67.0 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
  • The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Cowboys this year (a whopping 61.1 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • After averaging 109.0 air yards per game last season, CeeDee Lamb has seen a big downtick this season, currently boasting 80.0 per game.
  • CeeDee Lamb's 61.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 71.1.
  • The Dallas O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • CeeDee Lamb's 78.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season represents a significant drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 103.0 mark.
  • CeeDee Lamb's 67.8% Adjusted Completion% this year marks an impressive decline in his pass-catching ability over last year's 74.7% figure.

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