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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (+107/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ +107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys may lean on the pass less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Cooper Rush.
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Cowboys being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Texans, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.3 per game) this year.
  • After accumulating 109.0 air yards per game last year, CeeDee Lamb has posted significant losses this year, now pacing 91.0 per game.
  • CeeDee Lamb's 61.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 71.1.
  • The Dallas offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • CeeDee Lamb's 76.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year indicates a significant drop-off in his receiving prowess over last year's 103.0 figure.

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