CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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CeeDee Lamb

NFL · Player Props

CeeDee Lamb

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:26 PM UTC

Analysis

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 66.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 66.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Cowboys offensive gameplan to tilt 3.5% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-highest number on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The predictive model expects CeeDee Lamb to notch 8.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.
With an outstanding 80.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (91st percentile) this year, CeeDee Lamb rates among the top WRs in the NFL in football.

Favors Under

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
CeeDee Lamb's 22.3% Target% this year illustrates a meaningful regression in his air attack utilization over last year's 28.8% figure.
CeeDee Lamb has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (66.0 per game) than he did last year (94.0 per game).
The Rams pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (54.5%) to wideouts this year (54.5%).

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