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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 70.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 71.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.43 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to notch 9.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are an enormous 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, conceding 7.58 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the league.

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