CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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CeeDee Lamb

NFL · Player Props

CeeDee Lamb

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:56 PM UTC

Analysis

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 86.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 88.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 86.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Cowboys as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).
In this week's game, CeeDee Lamb is predicted by the projections to secure a spot in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.5 targets.
With an extraordinary 28.4% Target Rate (93rd percentile) this year, CeeDee Lamb ranks as one of the wide receivers with the most usage in the league.

Favors Under

This year, the fierce Buffalo Bills pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing WRs: a puny 3.3 YAC.
As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Buffalo's CB corps has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

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