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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 69.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 67.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 141.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to notch 9.5 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.

CeeDee Lamb has been much more involved in his offense's air attack this year (29.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (19.7%).

CeeDee Lamb has notched significantly more air yards this year (93.0 per game) than he did last year (79.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a 4-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The Cowboys rank as the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 55.8% pass rate.

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 8th-least in the league.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up the 4th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 131.0) vs. wideouts this year.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has surrendered the lowest Completion% in football (59.6%) vs. wideouts this year (59.6%).

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