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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 76.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 80.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to garner 9.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among WRs.
  • CeeDee Lamb has notched quite a few more air yards this year (94.0 per game) than he did last year (82.0 per game).
  • CeeDee Lamb's 74.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 49.1.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a giant 10-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Cowboys rank as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.4% pass rate.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the NFL.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (61.3%) versus wideouts this year (61.3%).
  • The New York Giants pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus WRs this year, giving up 7.76 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in the league.

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