CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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CeeDee Lamb

NFL · Player Props

CeeDee Lamb

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:11 PM UTC

Analysis

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to accumulate 9.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
CeeDee Lamb has been a much bigger part of his offense's pass game this season (31.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (20.3%).
CeeDee Lamb has totaled quite a few more air yards this season (96.0 per game) than he did last season (82.0 per game).
CeeDee Lamb has been among the leading pass-catching WRs this year, averaging an impressive 68.0 yards per game while grading out in the 90th percentile.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys rank as the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 56.1% pass rate.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in football.
CeeDee Lamb's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.2% to 59.7%.

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