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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+155/-185).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to be a more important option in his team's passing attack near the goal line this week (21.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.4% in games he has played).
  • CeeDee Lamb has totaled quite a few more air yards this season (96.0 per game) than he did last season (82.0 per game).
  • CeeDee Lamb's 74.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 49.1.
  • CeeDee Lamb ranks in the 84th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging an impressive 0.38 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in football.
  • CeeDee Lamb's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.2% to 59.7%.
  • The Green Bay Packers defense has yielded the 8th-least passing TDs in the league to wideouts: 0.67 per game this year.

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