CeeDee Lamb Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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CeeDee Lamb

NFL · Player Props

CeeDee Lamb

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving TD

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

CeeDee Lamb Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+155/-185).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to be a more important option in his team's passing attack near the goal line this week (21.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.4% in games he has played).
CeeDee Lamb has totaled quite a few more air yards this season (96.0 per game) than he did last season (82.0 per game).
CeeDee Lamb's 74.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 49.1.
CeeDee Lamb ranks in the 84th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging an impressive 0.38 per game.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in football.
CeeDee Lamb's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.2% to 59.7%.
The Green Bay Packers defense has yielded the 8th-least passing TDs in the league to wideouts: 0.67 per game this year.

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