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CeeDee Lamb
NFL · Player Props
CeeDee Lamb
WR · Dallas Cowboys
Receiving TD
Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 1, 2022 Updated Sep 12, 2022 12:13 AM UTC
NFL Props CeeDee Lamb Receiving TD

CeeDee Lamb Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+116/-157).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +133 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +116.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 66.6 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to be a more important option in his offense's pass attack near the end zone this week (22.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (8.3% in games he has played).
Favors Under
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (62.7%) versus WRs since the start of last season (62.7%).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded the 8th-least passing touchdowns in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.82 per game since the start of last season.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties rank as the 4th-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have incorporated play action on a mere 23.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (9th-least in football), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.
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