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Cedrick Wilson

Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints

Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are a huge 14.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Saints to run the most total plays on the slate this week with 69.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in football.

The model projects Cedrick Wilson to be a much bigger part of his team's passing attack in this game (11.7% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.9% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the least pass-oriented team in football (55.3% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Saints.

After averaging 28.0 air yards per game last year, Cedrick Wilson has produced significantly less this year, currently boasting 13.0 per game.

The Saints O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

The Packers defense has conceded the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 129.0) to WRs this year.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has displayed strong efficiency versus wideouts this year, allowing 7.74 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-fewest in football.

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