Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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NFL · Player Props

Cedrick Wilson

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to pass on 63.7% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week.
The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
Cedrick Wilson has accumulated quite a few more air yards this season (19.0 per game) than he did last season (12.0 per game).
Cedrick Wilson's 32.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year represents a substantial improvement in his pass-catching skills over last year's 18.0 mark.
Cedrick Wilson has been one of the best possession receivers in football, completing an impressive 81.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

Right now, the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
Cedrick Wilson has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 39.4% of snaps compared to just 23.9% last season.
This year, the imposing Kansas City Chiefs defense has yielded a puny 59.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 4th-best rate in the league.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, giving up 7.27 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the league.