Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Cedrick Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Cedrick Wilson

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Miami Dolphins · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
Cedrick Wilson is positioned as one of the leading WRs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a stellar 6.18 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 85th percentile.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Dolphins.
Cedrick Wilson has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 42.9% of snaps vs just 23.9% last season.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (58.9%) vs. wideouts this year (58.9%).
The Eagles pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.04 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
The Eagles safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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