Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Cedrick Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Cedrick Wilson

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect Cedrick Wilson to be a more important option in his team's passing offense in this week's contest (13.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.7% in games he has played).
After accumulating 12.0 air yards per game last season, Cedrick Wilson has produced significantly more this season, currently averaging 26.0 per game.
Cedrick Wilson has accumulated many more adjusted receiving yards per game (31.0) this year than he did last year (18.0).
With an outstanding 9.6 adjusted yards per target (80th percentile) this year, Cedrick Wilson ranks among the best pass-catching wide receivers in the league.

Favors Under

With a 7-point advantage, the Dolphins are a massive favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 11th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
The Dolphins have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.6 plays per game.
Windy weather conditions (like the 23-mph being projected in this game) generally mean worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased run volume.

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