Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Cedrick Wilson

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
The Dolphins rank as the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 70.9% pass rate.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.
Cedrick Wilson has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in football, averaging an impressive 9.36 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 77th percentile among wideouts.
Cedrick Wilson has been among the top WRs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 5.11 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 79th percentile.

Favors Under

The Miami Dolphins will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 58.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Miami Dolphins offensive line has afforded their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-fastest in football since the start of last season.