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Cedric Tillman

Cedric Tillman Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Cedric Tillman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

The projections expect the Browns offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per snap.

While Cedric Tillman has earned 2.2% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Cleveland's pass game in this week's game at 9.5%.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to pass on 54.4% of their plays: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The Browns offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Cedric Tillman's 0.8 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a substantial reduction in his pass-catching skills over last season's 2.0 figure.

Cedric Tillman comes in as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 55.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 24th percentile among WRs

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