Cedric Tillman Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Cedric Tillman

NFL · Player Props

Cedric Tillman

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Cedric Tillman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -6-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 26.81 seconds per play.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 9th-most in the league.
While Cedric Tillman has received 2.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Cleveland's pass game in this week's game at 8.5%.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The model projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
This year, the strong Ravens defense has given up a feeble 62.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 8th-lowest rate in football.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Baltimore's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the best in football.

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