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Cedric Tillman

Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 62.6% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 135.4 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most among all games this week.

The Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game.

In this week's game, Cedric Tillman is expected by the predictive model to position himself in the 91st percentile among wideouts with 8.4 targets.

The projections expect Cedric Tillman to be a more important option in his offense's passing offense this week (22.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.1% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Browns offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Cedric Tillman's 2.94 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows an impressive decrease in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 4.1% mark.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 131.0) to wide receivers this year.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's collection of CBs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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