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Cedric Tillman

Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cleveland Browns will be starting backup QB Jameis Winston this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Browns are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 7th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Cleveland Browns.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (41.1 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • After totaling 33.0 air yards per game last season, Cedric Tillman has been a disappointment this season, currently boasting 19.0 per game.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • With a feeble 18.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (23rd percentile) this year, Cedric Tillman places among the weakest WRs in the league in the NFL.
  • Cedric Tillman's 2.64 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a noteable decrease in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 4.1% mark.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Baltimore's group of CBs has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the league.

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