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Cedric Tillman

Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the league (62.5% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Browns.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 131.2 plays on offense run: the 4th-most among all games this week.

The largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns since the start of last season (a massive 63.6 per game on average).

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

Since the start of last season, the shaky Raiders pass defense has conceded a monstrous 68.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 5th-largest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Cedric Tillman's 6.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 19.7.

Cedric Tillman has been one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 55.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 25th percentile among WRs

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