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Cedric Tillman

Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs New York Giants

Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Browns.

The New York Giants defense has been torched for the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (159.0) vs. WRs since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the weak Giants defense has given up the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a whopping 5.40 YAC.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, New York's safety corps has been dreadful since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Browns, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 55.4% of their downs: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Cedric Tillman has been one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, catching a measly 54.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 23rd percentile among wide receivers

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