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Cedric Tillman

Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Los Angeles Rams vs Cleveland Browns

Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Browns, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Cleveland Browns have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 66.5 plays per game.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Rams linebackers rank as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to pass on 56.5% of their chances: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

With a feeble 14.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (19th percentile) this year, Cedric Tillman places as one of the bottom WRs in the league in the league.

Cedric Tillman comes in as one of the least effective receivers in the league, averaging a measly 5.45 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 23rd percentile among wideouts

This year, the tough Rams defense has yielded a mere 56.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 2nd-best rate in football.

This year, the daunting Rams defense has given up the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing WRs: a puny 7.2 yards.

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