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Cedric Tillman

Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -6-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 26.81 seconds per play.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

While Cedric Tillman has received 2.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Cleveland's pass game in this week's game at 8.5%.

The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

When it comes to air yards, Cedric Tillman grades out in the measly 24th percentile among wideouts this year, with just 10.0 per game.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has conceded the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 139.0) vs. wideouts this year.

The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. WRs this year, yielding 6.48 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Baltimore's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the best in football.

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