Carson Wentz Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Carson Wentz

NFL · Player Props

Carson Wentz

QB · Washington Commanders

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 14, 2022 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Carson Wentz Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Carson Wentz to be a more important option in his offense's run game this week (12.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (2.2% in games he has played).
Carson Wentz's rushing effectiveness has been refined this year, compiling 5.68 yards-per-carry vs a measly 4.67 mark last year.
Carson Wentz has been among the top QBs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging an impressive 4.53 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 100th percentile.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most yards in the NFL (179 per game) versus the Chicago Bears defense this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 9th-least run-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.3% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 7th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in run blocking.

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