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Carson Wentz

Carson Wentz Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders

Carson Wentz Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Carson Wentz to be a more important option in his offense's run game this week (12.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (2.2% in games he has played).

Carson Wentz's rushing effectiveness has been refined this year, compiling 5.68 yards-per-carry vs a measly 4.67 mark last year.

Carson Wentz has been among the top QBs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging an impressive 4.53 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 100th percentile.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most yards in the NFL (179 per game) versus the Chicago Bears defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 9th-least run-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.3% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 7th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in run blocking.

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