Carson Wentz Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Carson Wentz

NFL · Player Props

Carson Wentz

QB · Washington Commanders

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Carson Wentz Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-122/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 67.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Carson Wentz to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game this week (11.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
Carson Wentz's ground efficiency has been refined this season, averaging 6.62 yards-per-carry vs just 4.67 figure last season.
Carson Wentz has been among the top QBs in the NFL at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 5.08 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 100th percentile.
The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Washington Commanders O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
The Tennessee Titans defense has had the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, surrendering just 4.17 yards-per-carry.
The Tennessee Titans defensive ends profile as the 5th-best unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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