Carson Wentz Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Carson Wentz

NFL · Player Props

Carson Wentz

QB · Washington Commanders

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Carson Wentz Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+129/-163).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -163.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.30 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Carson Wentz to be a more important option in his offense's run game this week (14.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (5.2% in games he has played).
Opposing teams have rushed for the 2nd-most yards in the league (144 per game) vs. the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season.
The Detroit Lions defensive ends project as the worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.
The Washington Commanders have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Commanders have been the 6th-least run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 29.1% run rate.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

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