Carson Wentz Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Carson Wentz

NFL · Player Props

Carson Wentz

QB · Washington Commanders

Passing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Carson Wentz Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 238.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 67.0 plays per game.
Carson Wentz has attempted 45.4 throws per game this year, checking in at the 94th percentile among QBs.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
Carson Wentz has passed for substantially more yards per game (255.0) this season than he did last season (201.0).
Opposing offenses have thrown for the 2nd-most yards in the NFL (307.0 per game) versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year.

Favors Under

The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Carson Wentz has been among the worst per-play QBs in the NFL this year, averaging just 5.93 yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 9th percentile.
The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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